Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UIC Flames -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 23 | -10.6 |
| Layne Taylor | 27 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -6.0 |
| Mason Miller | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -3.1 |
| JJ Traynor | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -10.1 |
| Javon Jackson | 22 | 5-16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | -8.0 |
| Roman Domon | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +13.5 |
| Mathis Courbon | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +7.9 |
| Brayden Shorter | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +2.8 |
| KJ Tenner | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Brock Vice | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Dylan Anderson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.9 |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Henderson II | 32 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 12-15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | +10.3 |
| Rashund Washington Jr | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +10.1 |
| Mekhi Lowery | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -4.0 |
| Jayce Nathaniel | 26 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +12.4 |
| Andy Johnson | 26 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Abdul Momoh | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | -3.4 |
| Josiah Hammons | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Sam Silverstein | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -13.0 |
| Ante Beljan | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter