Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quel'Ron House | 35 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Drew Steffe | 33 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +10.5 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Prince Aligbe | 21 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | -9.7 |
| Davion Sykes | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 16 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | +2.6 |
| Jorge Moreno | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -3.8 |
| Jalen Haynes | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -19.9 |
| Max Pikaar | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.9 |
| Isaiah Stafford | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -11.0 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Mason Miller | 30 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +3.7 |
| JJ Traynor | 28 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | +1.6 |
| Javon Jackson | 22 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Fredrick King | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -6.0 |
| Roman Domon | 19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | +8.8 |
| Mathis Courbon | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +5.4 |
| KJ Tenner | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +7.3 |
| Brayden Shorter | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +6.5 |
| Brock Vice | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +7.2 |
| Dylan Anderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.5 |
* = starter