Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Hemenway | 37 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -3.6 |
| Bryce Quinet | 35 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | +2.8 |
| A.J. Casey | 35 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | -8.7 |
| Leif Moeller | 34 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | -5.2 |
| Joshua Hughes | 33 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | -15.6 |
| Trent Hundley | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Kaia Berridge | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Tenner | 39 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | +1.1 |
| Roman Domon | 28 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | +19.4 |
| Javon Jackson | 27 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Mason Miller | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Fredrick King | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Brock Vice | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Mathis Courbon | 16 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +6.6 |
| Brayden Shorter | 14 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +8.9 |
| JJ Traynor | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -9.2 |
* = starter