Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +13 (88-75). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Hemenway * | 37 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Casey * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Bryce Quinet * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Leif Moeller * | 34 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Joshua Hughes * | 33 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | -13.4 |
| Trent Hundley | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Kaia Berridge | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Tenner * | 39 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Javon Jackson * | 27 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Mason Miller * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Fredrick King * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| JJ Traynor * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Roman Domon | 28 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Brock Vice | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Mathis Courbon | 16 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Brayden Shorter | 14 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter