Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | -0.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +7 (81-74). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashund Washington Jr. * | 33 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 22 | -5.8 |
| Andy Johnson * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Mekhi Lowery * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Jayce Nathaniel * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Elijah Crawford * | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 27 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 7-10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Abdul Momoh | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Josiah Hammons | 17 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -10.7 |
| Sam Silverstein | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -11.2 |
| Tai Walters-Whitaker | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +0.6 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon * | 37 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | +10.2 |
| Javon Jackson * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 7 | +8.7 |
| Fredrick King * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 24 | +12.1 |
| JJ Traynor * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -3.3 |
| Layne Taylor * | 20 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5.2 |
| Brayden Shorter | 20 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| KJ Tenner | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Brock Vice | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5.5 |
| Mathis Courbon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Dylan Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
* = starter