Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +3 (90-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 6-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | -3.8 |
| Javon Jackson * | 27 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | -13.4 |
| JJ Traynor * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -16.6 |
| Layne Taylor * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -17.8 |
| Mason Miller * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -9.0 |
| KJ Tenner | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +13.9 |
| Brayden Shorter | 19 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +6.0 |
| Roman Domon | 17 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +11.8 |
| Mathis Courbon | 13 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +11.5 |
| Dylan Anderson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Brock Vice | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston * | 36 | 12-21 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 21 | +12.0 |
| Sean Smith * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +11.4 |
| Kamari Lands * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -8.5 |
| Tre Green * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10.2 |
| Chris Loofe * | 15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +5.3 |
| Alec Oglesby | 27 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +2.5 |
| Jahvin Carter | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +8.5 |
| Luka Jovanovic | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2.7 |
| James Dent Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Jarred Hall | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1.9 |
* = starter