Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -17 (70-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lundblade | 36 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| E. Dillon | 26 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| S. Orme | 26 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. Smiley | 22 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| I. West | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Rogers | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Noyes | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Scharnowski | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Haynes | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Lemke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Robbins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Dykstra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson | 32 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| R. Domon | 29 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| JJ Traynor | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| KJ Tenner | 23 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| M. Miller | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| F. King | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Taylor | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Anderson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Courbon | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Shorter | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Vice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter