Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | +12.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +17 (103-86). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Fredrick King * | 25 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Javon Jackson * | 24 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Mason Miller * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| JJ Traynor * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Roman Domon | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Brayden Shorter | 20 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Mathis Courbon | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| KJ Tenner | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brock Vice | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dylan Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-10 | 8-9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Drew Scharnowski * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 28 | +6.8 |
| Jabez Jenkins * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +19.4 |
| Isaiah West * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Brigham Rogers * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eoin Dillon | 27 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +7.0 |
| Jack Smiley | 26 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Aidan Noyes | 16 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Win Miller | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Jake Dykstra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Keith Robbins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Cooper Haynes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Graydon Lemke | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter