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2026-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Indiana State Sycamores Spread Result
Elo 57.6% 42.4% -
Bradley-Terry 69.3% 30.7% -
Margin 66.7% 33.3% -3.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% -
Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.8% 28.2% -
Log Adjusted 71.9% 28.1% -
Points Off/Def 57.0% 43.0% -

Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. King 34 5-10 0-1 3-6 6 0 2 5 1 13 15 -
R. Domon 33 5-9 2-4 8-10 7 2 1 0 2 20 19 -
J. Jackson 33 9-16 1-6 3-3 3 6 2 0 6 22 11 -
M. Miller 23 2-4 2-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
L. Taylor 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
JJ Traynor 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 5 3 -
KJ Tenner 19 3-5 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
M. Courbon 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Shorter 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Anderson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Vice 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Hall 33 4-8 1-2 3-6 2 5 1 0 1 12 11 -
B. Alocen 32 3-8 3-7 3-4 2 3 0 0 2 12 7 -
I. Scott 29 4-8 0-1 4-5 4 3 1 0 2 12 10 -
E. St. Bernard 28 3-3 0-0 6-12 8 0 3 1 2 12 19 -
C. Wagner 27 6-13 3-7 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 15 6 -
S. Young 22 3-8 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 9 1 -
H. Harding 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Nordheim 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Bean 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter