Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | -9.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -29 (60-89). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Campbell * | 35 | 10-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | +22.6 |
| Leon Bond III * | 33 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | +18.0 |
| Max Weisbrod * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | +14.9 |
| Will Hornseth * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Ben Schwieger * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +10.3 |
| Tristan Smith | 21 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +14.6 |
| RJ Taylor | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Ismael Diouf | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +12.2 |
| Geon Hutchins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.9 |
| Kyle Pock | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Hunter Jacobson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Chase Courbat | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | -15.5 |
| Fredrick King * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 16 | -5.8 |
| Javon Jackson * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | -16.0 |
| JJ Traynor * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -6.9 |
| Layne Taylor * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -20.7 |
| KJ Tenner | 24 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Mathis Courbon | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Mason Miller | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7.2 |
| Brayden Shorter | 16 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -3.3 |
| Brock Vice | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.7 |
| Dylan Anderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
* = starter