Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.2% | 88.8% | +11.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +20 (99-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae English * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | -21.3 |
| Sincere Malone * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 11 | -19.8 |
| Christian Winborne * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -13.6 |
| Jalik Dunkley * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | -11.4 |
| Jalin Rice * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -16.6 |
| Grant Sanders | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Jaylen Searles | 19 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -17.3 |
| Zaiden Cross | 10 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -0.9 |
| Domanic Betancourt | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Jordan Matthews | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Nick Krass | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Kevin Pazmino | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King * | 29 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 33 | +18.9 |
| Layne Taylor * | 29 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +23.4 |
| Javon Jackson * | 27 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 13 | +19.9 |
| Mason Miller * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +17.0 |
| JJ Traynor * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Roman Domon | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | +17.0 |
| Mathis Courbon | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Brayden Shorter | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2.4 |
| KJ Tenner | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Dylan Anderson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Brock Vice | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.8 |
* = starter