Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | George Washington Revolutionaries | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: George Washington Revolutionaries -1 (95-96). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Miller * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +5.3 |
| Layne Taylor * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Javon Jackson * | 23 | 10-20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Fredrick King * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +3.0 |
| JJ Traynor * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +6.5 |
| Roman Domon | 32 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +8.7 |
| Mathis Courbon | 16 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +11.3 |
| KJ Tenner | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Brayden Shorter | 11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +4.8 |
| Dylan Anderson | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Brock Vice | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.4 |
George Washington Revolutionaries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Castro * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 29 | +3.3 |
| Trey Autry * | 28 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -4.7 |
| Christian Jones * | 27 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | -11.0 |
| Bubu Benjamin * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -6.1 |
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Garrett Johnson | 30 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +5.7 |
| Jean Aranguren | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Tre Dinkins | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Luke Hunger | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -5.9 |
* = starter