Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +17 (78-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Domon | 35 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J. Jackson | 32 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| JJ Traynor | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| F. King | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| L. Taylor | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| KJ Tenner | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Miller | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Shorter | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Courbon | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Vice | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. Skunberg | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Coleman | 27 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| L. Wolf | 25 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Ty Pence | 24 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Klabo | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Moore | 17 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Lieb | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Daugherty | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ty Blake | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter