🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 18.0% 82.0% -
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% -
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% -
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% -
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +17 (78-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Domon 35 5-13 2-4 6-8 3 0 1 0 1 18 8 -
J. Jackson 32 3-11 0-3 0-0 1 1 4 0 2 6 -1 -
JJ Traynor 25 1-6 0-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
F. King 23 7-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 2 14 13 -
L. Taylor 22 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
KJ Tenner 19 2-5 1-2 1-4 2 4 0 0 2 6 5 -
M. Miller 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
B. Shorter 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
M. Courbon 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
B. Vice 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Kinziger 28 2-6 2-4 1-2 2 3 1 0 4 7 3 -
B. Skunberg 27 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 5 4 -
T. Coleman 27 10-16 1-3 1-2 5 4 4 1 3 22 17 -
L. Wolf 25 5-6 2-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 12 11 -
Ty Pence 24 6-8 3-4 0-1 2 3 1 0 0 15 13 -
M. Klabo 22 2-5 0-1 3-4 3 0 1 0 1 7 5 -
L. Moore 17 3-6 0-3 0-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
B. Lieb 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Daugherty 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Ty Blake 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter