Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor | 30 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Javon Jackson | 28 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +6.4 |
| Roman Domon | 27 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 13-15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 21 | +0.4 |
| Mason Miller | 25 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10.0 |
| Fredrick King | 23 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +3.9 |
| JJ Traynor | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Brayden Shorter | 14 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -16.1 |
| Mathis Courbon | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.1 |
| KJ Tenner | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Brock Vice | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.7 |
| Dylan Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.8 |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Bond III | 37 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Trey Campbell | 34 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 24 | +7.3 |
| Max Weisbrod | 30 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +9.4 |
| Will Hornseth | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -13.1 |
| Ben Schwieger | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +13.1 |
| Kyle Pock | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Ismael Diouf | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +13.2 |
| RJ Taylor | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.7 |
| Geon Hutchins | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.8 |
| Chase Courbat | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter