Model Predictions
| Model | Bellarmine Knights | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Waddell | 37 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 24 | -5.8 |
| K. Goodin | 36 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Jack Karasinski | 34 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | -9.0 |
| S. Donald | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6.7 |
| Michael Wilson Jr. | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -11.0 |
| D. Bolden | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4.8 |
| Donovan Hunter | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.3 |
| M. Watkins | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -4.8 |
| G. Whitaker | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -9.5 |
| J. Wassler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.5 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Traynor | 27 | 8-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +0.4 |
| Layne Taylor | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | +2.2 |
| Roman Domon | 24 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +4.0 |
| Javon Jackson | 23 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +3.6 |
| Mason Miller | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +6.9 |
| Fredrick King | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Mathis Courbon | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Brayden Shorter | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -1.6 |
| KJ Tenner | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Dylan Anderson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.4 |
| Brock Vice | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.4 |
* = starter