Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | McNeese Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: McNeese Cowboys +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Javon Jackson * | 23 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | -7.2 |
| JJ Traynor * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -12.2 |
| Mason Miller * | 21 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Fredrick King * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -10.1 |
| Mathis Courbon | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | -3.4 |
| Roman Domon | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | -4.0 |
| Brayden Shorter | 16 | 2-11 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | -17.8 |
| Brock Vice | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +10.6 |
| KJ Tenner | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -14.8 |
| Dylan Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -12.0 |
McNeese Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javohn Garcia * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 21 | +10.7 |
| DJ Richards * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Tyshawn Archie * | 20 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | +13.4 |
| Jerrell Colbert * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.3 |
| Larry Johnson | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +33.5 |
| Garwey Dual | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Peitok Machar | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +16.9 |
| Carl Cherenfant | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +10.8 |
* = starter