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2026-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% -
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Domon 37 4-8 1-2 11-16 7 4 1 0 1 20 23 -
F. King 32 6-10 2-2 3-4 8 1 1 1 1 17 17 -
KJ Tenner 30 3-11 2-5 1-2 2 2 2 0 1 9 3 -
JJ Traynor 23 2-6 1-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 7 7 -
J. Jackson 23 5-11 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 12 1 -
M. Courbon 20 1-4 1-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 5 6 -
M. Miller 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 4 -
B. Shorter 16 2-7 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 -1 -
D. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Huibregtse 32 6-9 2-5 7-7 2 3 0 1 0 21 18 -
AJ Smith 29 4-4 2-2 4-6 6 2 1 3 1 14 21 -
J. Johnson 28 5-12 0-2 6-9 1 3 2 0 2 16 8 -
A. Jonovic 27 3-3 0-0 3-5 9 0 1 2 0 9 18 -
C. Thomas 22 3-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 7 7 -
T. van der Knaap 22 1-4 0-0 0-1 6 3 1 0 2 2 6 -
M. Wheeler 19 1-6 0-1 5-6 1 3 0 0 1 7 4 -
D. Richardson 12 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
K. Yu 9 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter