๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Indiana Fever

Also known as: Indiana Fever
Program History

2009 Team Stats (44 games)

78.2
PPG
75.9
Opp
+2.2
Margin
41.0%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
81.6%
FT%
33.0
RPG
15.8
APG
13.3
TO
78.9
Est. poss./game
74.9
Adj PPG
72.5
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1049 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1103 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +107 elo More โ†’ 1057 (#3) HCA +107 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +2.4 (#2) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ +1.6 (#4) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.583 (#2) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.6 More โ†’ 0.601 (#2) AdjNet +3.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.6 More โ†’ 0.601 (#2) AdjNet +3.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 72.5 More โ†’ 0.554 (#2) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 72.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 74.5 More โ†’ 0.533 (#4) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 74.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.575 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.571 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 71 | GP 44 More โ†’ 1068 (#2) RD 71 | GP 44

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-06-06 @ Atlanta Dream L 86 - 87
2009-06-07 vs Minnesota Lynx L 74 - 96
2009-06-09 vs Seattle Storm W 73 - 66
2009-06-12 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 73 - 61
2009-06-19 @ Detroit Shock W 66 - 54
2009-06-21 vs Detroit Shock W 82 - 70
2009-06-26 @ New York Liberty W 82 - 81
2009-06-27 vs New York Liberty W 63 - 54
2009-07-02 vs Connecticut Sun W 67 - 53
2009-07-05 vs Atlanta Dream W 78 - 74
2009-07-10 @ Chicago Sky W 83 - 54
2009-07-15 vs Chicago Sky W 84 - 74
2009-07-17 vs Atlanta Dream W 84 - 79
2009-07-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 61 - 67
2009-07-21 @ Washington Mystics W 82 - 70
2009-07-23 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 65 - 84
2009-07-28 vs Washington Mystics W 85 - 81
2009-07-30 vs Connecticut Sun W 94 - 85
2009-08-02 @ Washington Mystics W 87 - 79
2009-08-05 vs Chicago Sky W 76 - 67
2009-08-08 @ Phoenix Mercury W 90 - 83
2009-08-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 63 - 75
2009-08-13 @ Minnesota Lynx W 91 - 81
2009-08-15 vs Detroit Shock W 82 - 59
2009-08-20 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 62 - 67
2009-08-22 @ Seattle Storm L 60 - 74
2009-08-27 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 77 - 66
2009-08-29 vs Sacramento Monarchs L 78 - 79
2009-09-02 vs Phoenix Mercury L 90 - 106
2009-09-04 @ Detroit Shock L 63 - 70
2009-09-06 vs Washington Mystics W 72 - 61
2009-09-08 @ New York Liberty W 69 - 63
2009-09-10 @ Chicago Sky L 79 - 86
2009-09-13 @ Connecticut Sun L 85 - 95
2009-09-17 @ Washington Mystics W 88 - 79
2009-09-19 vs Washington Mystics W 81 - 74
2009-09-23 @ Detroit Shock L 56 - 72
2009-09-25 vs Detroit Shock W 79 - 75
2009-09-26 vs Detroit Shock W 72 - 67
2009-09-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 116 - 120
2009-10-01 @ Phoenix Mercury W 93 - 84
2009-10-04 vs Phoenix Mercury W 86 - 85
2009-10-07 vs Phoenix Mercury L 77 - 90
2009-10-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 86 - 94

2009 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Douglas K. Douglas G 44 32.2 17.0 3.5 2.9 1.7 0.3 2.2 14.3 9.0 - - - - 40.9 34.9 84.4 - 53.2 48.2
M. Camby M. Camby - 47 31.9 15.1 7.7 3.6 2.9 0.7 2.7 11.8 15.5 - - - - 40.0 30.9 87.1 - 53.5 44.6
T. Sutton-Brown T. Sutton-Brown C 40 26.3 10.8 5.8 0.8 0.7 1.4 2.1 8.2 9.2 - - - - 48.8 0 73.4 - 54.7 48.8
E. Hoffman E. Hoffman F 45 29.4 10.3 5.5 1.3 1.5 0.4 2.3 9.0 7.8 - - - - 42.7 35.2 88.9 - 51.8 46.5
Briann January Briann January Forward 46 20.9 7.8 2.1 2.5 1.0 0.1 1.6 6.2 5.5 - - - - 35.5 32.5 85.6 - 51.7 42.5
Marc Thurig Marc Thurig - 3 17.0 6.7 2.0 0.7 1.0 0.3 1.3 7.0 2.3 - - - - 28.6 28.6 75.0 - 40.8 33.3
T. Bevilaqua T. Bevilaqua G 46 24.4 5.8 2.3 2.6 1.7 0.2 1.4 5.2 5.9 - - - - 36.2 33.3 67.2 - 49.4 46.2
Y. Griffith Y. Griffith NA 5 14.8 5.4 3.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 2.0 3.6 4.0 - - - - 50.0 0 60.0 - 54.9 50.0
E. White E. White NA 5 13.8 4.6 1.2 1.6 1.4 0.2 1.0 5.0 3.0 - - - - 32.0 44.4 75.0 - 43.0 40.0
J. Moore J. Moore F 41 17.9 4.1 2.8 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.9 3.5 3.7 - - - - 44.8 0.0 74.1 - 50.4 44.8
Paul Seymour Paul Seymour - 45 12.0 3.7 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.7 3.8 2.0 - - - - 39.9 33.3 82.1 - 44.5 41.0
K. Whittington K. Whittington NA 6 15.3 3.7 3.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.5 5.2 3.2 - - - - 35.5 0 0.0 - 34.5 35.5
S. Murphy S. Murphy F 28 6.9 3.6 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 3.4 2.1 - - - - 36.2 32.4 80.8 - 47.4 42.0
J. Davenport J. Davenport C 35 6.7 3.1 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 2.3 2.7 - - - - 53.8 0 74.2 - 58.2 53.8
C. Wirth C. Wirth NA 24 7.2 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.9 1.2 - - - - 30.4 31.6 100.0 - 40.5 37.0
D. Campbell D. Campbell NA 3 12.0 1.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 3.3 -1.7 - - - - 10.0 0 50.0 - 13.8 10.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2009 Shot Zones

3073 located field-goal attempts in 47 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Sutton-Brown22% Sutton-Brown21% Hoffman18% Douglas28% Douglas24% Douglas26% Douglas28% Douglas33% Douglas31% Douglas34%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Sutton-Brown23% Douglas18% Camby19% Douglas20% Camby22% Bevilaqua30% Douglas32% Douglas36% Douglas31% Douglas27%
Misses: who misses most here

K. DouglasM. CambyE. HoffmanT. Sutton-BrownT. Bevilaqua

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 552-1023 54.0 1104 T. Sutton-Brown 22% (248 pts) M. Camby 18% (198 pts) T. Sutton-Brown 23% (110 misses) M. Camby 15% (73 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 105-318 33.0 210 T. Sutton-Brown 21% (44 pts) E. Hoffman 18% (38 pts) K. Douglas 18% (39 misses) E. Hoffman 15% (33 misses)
Mid-range left 170-422 40.3 340 E. Hoffman 18% (60 pts) K. Douglas 18% (60 pts) M. Camby 19% (48 misses) K. Douglas 19% (47 misses)
Mid-range center 29-99 29.3 58 K. Douglas 28% (16 pts) J. Moore 14% (8 pts) K. Douglas 20% (14 misses) M. Camby 17% (12 misses)
Mid-range right 114-353 32.3 228 K. Douglas 24% (54 pts) M. Camby 21% (48 pts) M. Camby 22% (53 misses) E. Hoffman 17% (41 misses)
Left corner 3 39-100 39.0 117 K. Douglas 26% (30 pts) M. Camby 26% (30 pts) T. Bevilaqua 30% (18 misses) Briann January 18% (11 misses)
Right corner 3 18-55 32.7 54 K. Douglas 28% (15 pts) T. Bevilaqua 22% (12 pts) K. Douglas 32% (12 misses) T. Bevilaqua 19% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 104-294 35.4 312 K. Douglas 33% (102 pts) T. Bevilaqua 20% (63 pts) K. Douglas 36% (68 misses) M. Camby 16% (31 misses)
Above-break 3 center 39-123 31.7 117 K. Douglas 31% (36 pts) M. Camby 28% (33 pts) K. Douglas 31% (26 misses) T. Bevilaqua 21% (18 misses)
Above-break 3 right 88-286 30.8 264 K. Douglas 34% (90 pts) Briann January 19% (51 pts) K. Douglas 27% (53 misses) M. Camby 27% (53 misses)