Indiana Fever
2009 Team Stats (44 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1049 (#4) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1103 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1057 (#3) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +2.4 (#2) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +1.6 (#4) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.583 (#2) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.601 (#2) | AdjNet +3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.601 (#2) | AdjNet +3.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.554 (#2) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 72.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.533 (#4) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 74.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.575 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.571 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1068 (#2) | RD 71 | GP 44 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Douglas
|
G | 44 | 32.2 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 14.3 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.9 | 34.9 | 84.4 | - | 53.2 | 48.2 |
M. Camby
|
- | 47 | 31.9 | 15.1 | 7.7 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 11.8 | 15.5 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 30.9 | 87.1 | - | 53.5 | 44.6 |
T. Sutton-Brown
|
C | 40 | 26.3 | 10.8 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 8.2 | 9.2 | - | - | - | - | 48.8 | 0 | 73.4 | - | 54.7 | 48.8 |
E. Hoffman
|
F | 45 | 29.4 | 10.3 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 9.0 | 7.8 | - | - | - | - | 42.7 | 35.2 | 88.9 | - | 51.8 | 46.5 |
Briann January
|
Forward | 46 | 20.9 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 5.5 | - | - | - | - | 35.5 | 32.5 | 85.6 | - | 51.7 | 42.5 |
Marc Thurig
|
- | 3 | 17.0 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 28.6 | 75.0 | - | 40.8 | 33.3 |
T. Bevilaqua
|
G | 46 | 24.4 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.2 | 5.9 | - | - | - | - | 36.2 | 33.3 | 67.2 | - | 49.4 | 46.2 |
Y. Griffith
|
NA | 5 | 14.8 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 54.9 | 50.0 |
E. White
|
NA | 5 | 13.8 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 32.0 | 44.4 | 75.0 | - | 43.0 | 40.0 |
J. Moore
|
F | 41 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 44.8 | 0.0 | 74.1 | - | 50.4 | 44.8 |
Paul Seymour
|
- | 45 | 12.0 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 39.9 | 33.3 | 82.1 | - | 44.5 | 41.0 |
K. Whittington
|
NA | 6 | 15.3 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 3.2 | - | - | - | - | 35.5 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 34.5 | 35.5 |
S. Murphy
|
F | 28 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | 36.2 | 32.4 | 80.8 | - | 47.4 | 42.0 |
J. Davenport
|
C | 35 | 6.7 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | 53.8 | 0 | 74.2 | - | 58.2 | 53.8 |
C. Wirth
|
NA | 24 | 7.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 30.4 | 31.6 | 100.0 | - | 40.5 | 37.0 |
D. Campbell
|
NA | 3 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.3 | -1.7 | - | - | - | - | 10.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 13.8 | 10.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2009 Shot Zones
3073 located field-goal attempts in 47 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
K. DouglasM. CambyE. HoffmanT. Sutton-BrownT. Bevilaqua
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 552-1023 | 54.0 | 1104 | T. Sutton-Brown 22% (248 pts) | M. Camby 18% (198 pts) | T. Sutton-Brown 23% (110 misses) | M. Camby 15% (73 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 105-318 | 33.0 | 210 | T. Sutton-Brown 21% (44 pts) | E. Hoffman 18% (38 pts) | K. Douglas 18% (39 misses) | E. Hoffman 15% (33 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 170-422 | 40.3 | 340 | E. Hoffman 18% (60 pts) | K. Douglas 18% (60 pts) | M. Camby 19% (48 misses) | K. Douglas 19% (47 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 29-99 | 29.3 | 58 | K. Douglas 28% (16 pts) | J. Moore 14% (8 pts) | K. Douglas 20% (14 misses) | M. Camby 17% (12 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 114-353 | 32.3 | 228 | K. Douglas 24% (54 pts) | M. Camby 21% (48 pts) | M. Camby 22% (53 misses) | E. Hoffman 17% (41 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 39-100 | 39.0 | 117 | K. Douglas 26% (30 pts) | M. Camby 26% (30 pts) | T. Bevilaqua 30% (18 misses) | Briann January 18% (11 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 18-55 | 32.7 | 54 | K. Douglas 28% (15 pts) | T. Bevilaqua 22% (12 pts) | K. Douglas 32% (12 misses) | T. Bevilaqua 19% (7 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 104-294 | 35.4 | 312 | K. Douglas 33% (102 pts) | T. Bevilaqua 20% (63 pts) | K. Douglas 36% (68 misses) | M. Camby 16% (31 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 39-123 | 31.7 | 117 | K. Douglas 31% (36 pts) | M. Camby 28% (33 pts) | K. Douglas 31% (26 misses) | T. Bevilaqua 21% (18 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 88-286 | 30.8 | 264 | K. Douglas 34% (90 pts) | Briann January 19% (51 pts) | K. Douglas 27% (53 misses) | M. Camby 27% (53 misses) |