Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +4 (120-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 40 | 12-21 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 14 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 38 | 12-14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 20 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 38 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 33 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Catchings | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| B. January | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Moore | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Dixon | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 5-17 | 3-8 | 9-11 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 15 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| T. Johnson | 29 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| T. Smith | 26 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Bonner | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| L. Willingham | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter