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2009-08-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 55.5% 44.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 68.3% 31.7% - โœ—
Margin 75.2% 24.8% -6.1 โœ— (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 80.9% 19.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 81.0% 19.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 62.2% 37.8% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +12 (75-63). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 36 7-13 0-2 1-2 6 2 3 0 0 15 13 -
Jessica Moore * 34 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
Katie Douglas * 32 5-18 2-9 4-4 1 1 3 0 2 16 1 -
Ebony Hoffman * 25 1-7 0-4 0-0 5 3 2 0 3 2 2 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 3 3 -
Briann January 20 2-7 0-2 6-8 2 1 0 0 2 10 4 -
Tamecka Dixon 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Jessica Davenport 7 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Shay Murphy 6 2-6 0-2 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
Christina Wirth 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 35 1-7 1-5 5-8 5 4 1 0 3 8 8 -
Candace Parker * 34 7-12 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 14 12 -
Lisa Leslie * 30 6-8 0-0 9-10 11 2 0 1 3 21 24 -
Tina Thompson * 26 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 2 -3 -
Kristi Harrower * 25 4-7 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
Noelle Quinn 24 4-4 1-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 10 9 -
Marie Ferdinand-Harris 11 2-5 0-2 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
Shannon Bobbitt 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 1 -

* = starter