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2009-08-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 38.9% 61.1% +2.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 36 7-13 0-2 1-2 6 2 3 0 0 15 13 -
J. Moore 34 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
K. Douglas 32 5-18 2-9 4-4 1 1 3 0 2 16 1 -
E. Hoffman 26 1-7 0-4 0-0 5 3 2 0 3 2 2 -
T. Bevilaqua 23 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 3 3 -
B. January 21 2-7 0-2 6-8 2 1 0 0 2 10 4 -
T. Dixon 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Davenport 8 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
S. Murphy 7 2-6 0-2 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
C. Wirth 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Milton-Jones 35 1-7 1-5 5-8 5 4 1 0 3 8 8 -
C. Parker 35 7-12 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 14 12 -
L. Leslie 31 6-8 0-0 9-10 11 2 0 1 3 21 24 -
T. Thompson 27 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 2 -3 -
K. Harrower 25 4-7 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
N. Quinn 25 4-4 1-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 10 9 -
M. Ferdinand-Harris 12 2-5 0-2 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
S. Bobbitt 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 1 -

* = starter