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2009-08-22

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 โœ“ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +14 (74-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ebony Hoffman * 34 5-8 0-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 10 10 -
Tamika Catchings * 34 4-12 1-4 2-2 7 7 1 2 1 11 15 -
Katie Douglas * 31 4-12 2-6 2-2 3 1 2 1 5 12 2 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 24 4-8 1-4 1-1 1 4 1 0 1 10 7 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 17 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
Briann January 24 1-8 0-3 4-4 4 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
Jessica Moore 17 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Tamecka Dixon 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Shay Murphy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jessica Davenport 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Swin Cash * 38 5-11 1-2 0-0 9 4 0 1 1 11 13 -
Sue Bird * 36 6-15 2-7 2-2 4 5 0 0 1 16 9 -
Tanisha Wright * 32 3-7 0-1 6-6 4 5 2 0 3 12 13 -
Camille Smith * 28 2-6 0-0 6-6 5 0 1 0 3 10 7 -
Lauren Jackson * 24 3-13 1-7 4-7 8 1 1 0 0 11 8 -
Janell Burse 23 4-8 0-0 6-6 7 0 2 2 2 14 15 -
Shannon Johnson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Suzy Batkovic-Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter