Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -13 (77-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| T. Smith | 33 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| L. Willingham | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. Taylor | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Johnson | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hoffman | 35 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| K. Douglas | 35 | 2-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| T. Catchings | 35 | 11-17 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 24 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| B. January | 23 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Dixon | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Moore | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Davenport | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Murphy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter