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2009-09-19

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +7 (81-74). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lindsey Harding * 41 5-12 0-2 0-0 4 5 1 0 6 10 2 -
Crystal Langhorne * 41 7-11 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 1 3 15 12 -
Alana Beard * 26 4-14 0-4 2-3 1 2 2 0 0 10 1 -
Monique Currie * 25 1-10 0-2 6-7 14 0 4 0 3 8 13 -
Chasity Melvin * 18 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 3 8 4 -
Marissa Coleman 24 1-4 1-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 4 5 3 -
Nakia Sanford 20 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 1 0 6 7 -
Matee Ajavon 19 3-11 1-5 2-2 4 1 2 0 2 9 3 -
Kristen Mann 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 40 6-11 1-4 11-12 16 5 4 4 3 24 39 -
Katie Douglas * 38 3-15 0-5 7-8 1 5 1 0 3 13 2 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 37 7-12 0-0 2-4 9 0 1 4 5 16 13 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 30 4-10 2-5 3-4 7 2 3 0 1 13 14 -
Ebony Hoffman * 29 2-3 0-0 4-4 6 1 1 0 3 8 10 -
Briann January 24 0-9 0-4 3-4 2 3 0 0 2 3 -3 -
Jessica Moore 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jessica Davenport 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Tamecka Dixon 5 0-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Shay Murphy 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Christina Wirth 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter