Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (94-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 38 | 4-14 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T. Catchings | 37 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 10 | - |
| B. January | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 20 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Davenport | 18 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Wirth | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Moore | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Dixon | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 11-20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| P. Taylor | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| L. Willingham | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 20 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| D. Bonner | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter