Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | -2.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (94-86). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 38 | 4-14 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 27 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Briann January | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 17 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christina Wirth | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 33 | 11-20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Penny Taylor | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter