Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| E. de Souza | 33 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 28 | - |
| I. Castro | 31 | 4-16 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -2 | - |
| S. Lehning | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Holdsclaw | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 21 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| I. Latta | 14 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Snow | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Lacy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Young | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Miller | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hoffman | 34 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. Catchings | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| K. Douglas | 33 | 9-19 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 8 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 29 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Moore | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. January | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Davenport | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| T. Dixon | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter