Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +1 (87-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 47 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| T. Catchings | 42 | 5-18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 9 | - |
| B. January | 39 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 31 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| T. Dixon | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Whittington | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Wirth | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holdsclaw | 46 | 9-22 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 9 | - |
| E. de Souza | 44 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 21 | - |
| N. Teasley | 41 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| I. Castro | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| C. Miller | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Lacy | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Snow | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Lehning | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Young | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter