Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -7 (83-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Moore | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| T. Catchings | 35 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 8-10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 11 | - |
| K. Douglas | 34 | 8-27 | 6-11 | 6-6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 15 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| B. January | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Dixon | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Murphy | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Davenport | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| T. Smith | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| T. Johnson | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 20 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 19 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| L. Willingham | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Swanier | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| B. Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter