Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | -2.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (65-59). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 25 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jessica Moore * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 23 | 4-20 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Briann January | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Penny Taylor | 19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brooke Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter