Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (78-74). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 28 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Shalee Lehning | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 10-11 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Briann January | 22 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Christina Wirth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter