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Atlanta Dream 74
@
Indiana Fever 78
2009-07-05

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% - ✓
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 ✓ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 35 6-14 0-0 6-7 6 0 2 0 3 18 9 -
I. Castro 29 1-9 0-2 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 4 -4 -
A. McCoughtry 28 6-9 1-1 2-2 3 4 3 1 4 15 13 -
E. de Souza 25 4-4 0-0 7-8 8 1 1 2 2 15 21 -
S. Lehning 23 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 4 0 1 1 9 10 -
C. Miller 21 2-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 6 5 -2 -
C. Holdsclaw 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 1 2 2 1 -
J. Lacy 12 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
M. Snow 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
I. Latta 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 33 4-13 1-2 10-11 9 5 6 1 6 19 21 -
T. Sutton-Brown 32 7-14 0-0 8-8 9 2 1 1 0 22 21 -
K. Douglas 30 5-15 0-2 0-0 2 1 3 0 3 10 -2 -
T. Bevilaqua 23 0-4 0-2 1-2 2 2 2 0 0 1 3 -
B. January 22 2-6 1-1 2-2 1 1 3 0 2 7 4 -
E. Hoffman 20 3-7 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 8 2 -
J. Moore 16 1-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
T. Dixon 16 1-4 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Davenport 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Wirth 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter