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2009-09-08

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 67.4% 32.6% -
Bradley-Terry 70.7% 29.3% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% -

Actual: New York Liberty -6 (63-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 34 6-16 1-6 4-4 10 3 6 0 4 17 16 -
K. Douglas 33 7-16 3-8 0-0 3 4 4 0 2 17 10 -
E. Hoffman 33 3-11 0-1 1-1 8 0 4 0 2 7 6 -
B. January 26 4-8 2-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 3 12 2 -
J. Moore 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
T. Bevilaqua 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Dixon 13 3-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 8 5 -
C. Wirth 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
T. Sutton-Brown 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
J. Davenport 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Carson 36 8-18 1-6 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 17 -1 -
L. Mitchell 31 0-3 0-3 0-0 6 6 1 0 1 0 9 -
A. Battle 26 3-8 0-3 6-9 2 2 3 0 3 12 8 -
K. Vaughn 22 3-5 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 7 5 -
C. Kraayeveld 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
S. Spencer 19 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
J. McCarville 17 5-8 0-0 1-1 5 3 1 0 2 11 10 -
E. Larkins 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 0 5 -
T. Jackson-Jones 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
L. Moore 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 3 6 -

* = starter