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2009-08-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 58.8% 41.2% -
Bradley-Terry 73.5% 26.5% -
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 37 6-14 1-1 3-3 9 2 5 1 3 16 16 -
E. Hoffman 34 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 5 6 6 -
K. Douglas 31 8-18 2-7 3-3 4 1 3 0 4 21 7 -
J. Moore 28 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 1 4 7 -
T. Bevilaqua 21 1-5 0-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 3 -1 -
B. January 18 1-5 1-3 2-2 1 6 0 0 2 5 5 -
T. Sutton-Brown 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
T. Dixon 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
S. Murphy 3 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Davenport 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 36 4-12 0-2 6-6 10 2 2 0 3 14 13 -
R. Brunson 31 7-11 0-0 2-4 10 1 1 0 3 16 14 -
T. Penicheiro 31 1-2 1-1 2-4 2 6 1 0 1 5 11 -
H. Maiga-Ba 23 4-9 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 1 4 10 2 -
D. Walker 23 3-7 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 0 5 8 4 -
S. Dorrell 21 1-8 0-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 4 -1 -
C. Paris 19 2-7 0-1 2-3 4 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
K. Haynie 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
L. Harper 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter