Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +1 (86-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 6-16 | 1-8 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 11-22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Willingham | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Johnson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Bonner | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Swanier | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 38 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 24 | - |
| K. Douglas | 38 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 30 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 29 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| B. January | 26 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Moore | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| T. Dixon | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Davenport | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter