Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +10 (95-85). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 17 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Moore * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 31 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Christina Wirth | 23 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandrine Gruda * | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Kerri Gardin * | 28 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tan White | 15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Chante Black | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter