Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +10 (95-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. January | 33 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Murphy | 31 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Dixon | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. Wirth | 23 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Davenport | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Catchings | 17 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Moore | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gruda | 33 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| K. Gardin | 29 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| E. Phillips | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Brown | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Holt | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| T. White | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Black | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Whalen | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter