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2009-07-02

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% -
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: Indiana Fever +14 (67-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 31 4-12 0-0 2-4 0 1 3 0 2 10 0 -
T. Whitmore 28 3-11 1-2 1-3 4 1 0 0 2 8 0 -
L. Whalen 28 4-12 0-2 3-3 4 3 1 0 2 11 5 -
E. Phillips 27 3-7 2-4 1-2 2 2 3 0 0 9 9 -
A. Jekabsone-Zogota 21 2-4 2-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
K. Gardin 19 0-2 0-2 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Black 16 0-5 0-0 1-2 8 0 2 1 1 1 6 -
T. White 15 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 6 4 -
K. Brown 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 0 0 -
L. Ervin 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Sutton-Brown 31 6-11 0-0 2-2 14 0 1 5 2 14 21 -
E. Hoffman 29 4-8 0-0 2-3 6 1 1 0 4 10 6 -
K. Douglas 29 5-11 3-6 1-2 3 3 0 1 1 14 9 -
T. Catchings 28 2-7 0-1 6-8 6 5 1 1 0 10 16 -
T. Bevilaqua 26 3-6 2-4 0-1 3 3 3 1 1 8 11 -
B. January 18 1-4 0-2 3-3 2 1 0 0 5 5 -1 -
J. Moore 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 2 1 -
T. Dixon 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Davenport 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 -
C. Wirth 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Murphy 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter