Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | -2.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -9 (84-93). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Briann January | 20 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Christina Wirth | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 33 | 7-22 | 2-10 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 31 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 28 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Penny Taylor | 11 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter