Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -9 (84-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 36 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| K. Douglas | 36 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 34 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. January | 20 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Davenport | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Moore | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Dixon | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 7-22 | 2-10 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| T. Smith | 28 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. Johnson | 26 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| L. Willingham | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Swanier | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Taylor | 12 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter