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2009-06-19

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Detroit Shock -12 (54-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bevilaqua 34 3-10 2-9 2-2 3 3 3 0 1 10 8 -
K. Douglas 33 3-5 1-2 7-8 6 1 1 0 0 14 17 -
T. Catchings 33 4-13 1-4 6-6 6 4 4 1 2 15 15 -
E. Hoffman 32 3-10 2-4 4-4 3 0 3 0 3 12 5 -
T. Sutton-Brown 26 2-5 0-0 6-8 9 1 0 1 1 10 15 -
J. Davenport 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 2 2 -
T. Dixon 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 0 2 -
C. Wirth 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Moore 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
S. Murphy 4 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 34 5-18 3-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 13 -4 -
A. Hornbuckle 29 4-11 0-3 1-2 10 2 0 0 4 9 6 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 0 5 2 6 -
K. Smith 28 1-4 0-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 4 4 0 -
S. Zellous 24 1-9 1-3 5-6 6 0 1 0 4 8 2 -
O. Sanni 21 3-9 0-0 5-7 7 1 2 0 0 11 12 -
C. Ford 19 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
B. Farris 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Haynie 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter