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2009-07-21

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 66.1% 33.9% -
Bradley-Terry 64.5% 35.5% -
Margin 50.2% 49.8% -0.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -

Actual: Washington Mystics -12 (70-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Douglas 35 3-9 0-3 2-2 2 3 3 0 5 8 2 -
T. Catchings 33 6-15 2-4 14-14 10 0 3 0 2 28 24 -
E. Hoffman 33 7-15 2-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 4 16 6 -
T. Sutton-Brown 32 5-7 0-0 6-12 9 1 1 2 2 16 20 -
T. Bevilaqua 31 3-6 2-3 2-2 3 8 2 1 4 10 14 -
J. Moore 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. January 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
T. Dixon 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Davenport 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Murphy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 36 6-14 0-1 5-6 5 6 2 1 7 17 10 -
A. Beard 33 5-14 2-4 1-1 9 4 0 0 3 13 9 -
C. Melvin 27 1-5 0-0 0-2 2 2 2 0 1 2 2 -
C. Langhorne 24 5-6 0-0 5-6 2 0 3 0 2 15 12 -
M. Coleman 22 3-4 2-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 9 6 -
M. Ajavon 16 1-7 0-4 3-4 3 2 2 0 2 5 3 -
N. Sanford 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 -
B. Mosby 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
M. Currie 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 4 1 -

* = starter