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2009-07-19

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% -
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% -
Margin 45.5% 54.5% +1.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +6 (67-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 33 2-12 0-2 1-2 5 4 2 0 2 5 2 -
K. Douglas 30 5-16 2-8 3-4 4 4 1 0 1 15 7 -
E. Hoffman 24 4-8 3-4 4-4 6 0 3 1 2 15 15 -
T. Sutton-Brown 23 1-3 0-0 4-6 3 0 0 2 3 6 5 -
T. Bevilaqua 23 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 4 -1 -
B. January 17 2-4 0-1 3-4 2 1 3 0 0 7 9 -
J. Moore 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
T. Dixon 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
J. Davenport 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
S. Murphy 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gruda 38 4-7 0-0 2-2 9 4 1 2 6 10 13 -
L. Whalen 30 5-12 1-3 4-4 8 6 0 1 3 15 15 -
A. Jones 29 3-7 0-1 6-8 5 4 1 1 5 12 11 -
E. Phillips 28 3-10 1-5 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 11 3 -
A. Holt 25 3-5 3-4 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 9 11 -
T. White 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
A. Jekabsone-Zogota 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 0 -
K. Gardin 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
K. Brown 6 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
C. Black 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -

* = starter