Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +6 (67-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 33 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Douglas | 30 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 24 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. January | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Moore | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Dixon | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Davenport | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gruda | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | - |
| L. Whalen | 30 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| A. Jones | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| E. Phillips | 28 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| A. Holt | 25 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. White | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Gardin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Brown | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Black | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter