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2009-08-15

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 7.8% 92.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.9% 90.1% - โœ“
Margin 3.0% 97.0% +19.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.1% 97.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.0% 85.0% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +23 (82-59). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Smith * 30 1-6 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
Cheryl Ford * 26 3-8 0-0 2-4 9 0 0 0 2 8 7 -
Deanna Nolan * 26 2-9 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 4 -3 -
Alexis Hornbuckle * 24 1-8 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 2 -1 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 4 2 -
Kara Braxton 23 4-6 0-0 0-2 10 2 0 1 5 8 10 -
Shavonte Zellous 20 6-7 1-1 3-4 3 3 3 0 5 16 13 -
Kristin Haynie 18 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
Barbara Farris 7 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Olayinka Sanni 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 2 1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 31 4-10 1-4 1-2 9 2 4 0 2 10 13 -
Ebony Hoffman * 30 5-9 1-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 11 7 -
Katie Douglas * 29 6-13 4-9 3-3 4 4 0 0 4 19 10 -
Jessica Moore * 26 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 21 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 3 3 -
Briann January 26 4-8 2-4 7-8 2 3 3 0 4 17 13 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 1 5 7 -
Jessica Davenport 8 0-1 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Shay Murphy 8 2-4 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
Tamecka Dixon 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Christina Wirth 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter