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2009-08-15

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 27.0% 73.0% +5.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Indiana Fever +23 (82-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Smith 31 1-6 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
C. Ford 26 3-8 0-0 2-4 9 0 0 0 2 8 7 -
D. Nolan 26 2-9 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 4 -3 -
A. Hornbuckle 25 1-8 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 2 -1 -
K. Braxton 23 4-6 0-0 0-2 10 2 0 1 5 8 10 -
S. Zellous 20 6-7 1-1 3-4 3 3 3 0 5 16 13 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 4 2 -
K. Haynie 18 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
B. Farris 7 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
O. Sanni 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 2 1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 32 4-10 1-4 1-2 9 2 4 0 2 10 13 -
E. Hoffman 31 5-9 1-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 11 7 -
K. Douglas 29 6-13 4-9 3-3 4 4 0 0 4 19 10 -
J. Moore 26 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
B. January 26 4-8 2-4 7-8 2 3 3 0 4 17 13 -
T. Bevilaqua 22 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 3 3 -
T. Sutton-Brown 11 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 1 5 7 -
S. Murphy 9 2-4 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
J. Davenport 8 0-1 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Dixon 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Wirth 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter