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2009-07-23

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% - โœ—
Margin 78.2% 21.8% -7.0 โœ— (26.0 off)
Pythagorean 60.9% 39.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 83.2% 16.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 64.1% 35.9% - โœ—

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +19 (84-65). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tully Bevilaqua * 24 2-5 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Katie Douglas * 20 1-8 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 2 0 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 18 2-5 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
Ebony Hoffman * 16 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Tamika Catchings * 16 0-9 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 -5 -
Briann January 26 4-11 1-4 2-2 2 6 2 0 3 11 7 -
Jessica Moore 17 2-6 0-1 2-4 3 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Christina Wirth 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 -2 -
Shay Murphy 15 2-8 2-4 2-4 5 2 0 1 0 8 8 -
Tamecka Dixon 14 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
Jessica Davenport 13 6-8 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 0 2 13 10 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Becky Hammon * 25 5-6 1-2 4-4 5 4 2 0 2 15 18 -
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 24 9-14 2-3 4-4 5 1 0 3 0 24 19 -
Erin Perperoglou * 24 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 0 1 -
Vickie Johnson * 21 7-10 2-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 16 11 -
Belinda Snell * 17 0-3 0-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 23 2-4 2-3 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 10 10 -
Megan Frazee 21 3-6 0-2 5-6 8 1 3 1 1 11 17 -
Helen Darling 18 0-3 0-1 4-6 1 1 1 1 2 4 3 -
Shanna Zolman 11 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -
Katie Mattera 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 0 1 -

* = starter