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2009-09-17

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 66.1% 33.9% -
Bradley-Terry 64.5% 35.5% -
Margin 50.2% 49.8% -0.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -

Actual: Washington Mystics -9 (79-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 35 9-15 2-3 6-7 12 3 1 1 3 26 25 -
K. Douglas 35 6-15 2-5 5-6 4 2 2 0 3 19 9 -
T. Sutton-Brown 28 5-8 0-0 2-3 6 1 1 2 3 12 11 -
T. Bevilaqua 21 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 3 3 0 1 5 5 -
B. January 20 4-8 0-0 8-8 3 3 2 0 3 16 13 -
J. Moore 18 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
E. Hoffman 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 3 -
C. Wirth 14 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
T. Dixon 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Murphy 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Davenport 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 39 5-14 0-1 1-1 1 3 2 0 4 11 -1 -
C. Langhorne 38 7-9 0-0 4-6 10 1 1 0 3 18 18 -
M. Coleman 29 5-15 3-6 3-3 8 1 2 4 3 16 13 -
A. Beard 28 4-12 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 9 3 -
C. Melvin 27 4-6 0-0 1-1 2 4 2 0 4 9 7 -
N. Sanford 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
M. Ajavon 14 3-5 1-3 3-4 1 2 2 0 0 10 10 -
M. Currie 11 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 -

* = starter