Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✗ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -16 (90-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 32 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 21 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| L. Willingham | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Bonner | 18 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| P. Taylor | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Swanier | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 37 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 26 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 32 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | - |
| B. January | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| T. Dixon | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Moore | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Murphy | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Wirth | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter