🐻⬇️🏀

Illinois State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Illinois State Redbirds, Illinois State
Program History
Coach: Ryan Pedon

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

72.0
PPG
67.7
Opp
+5.7
Margin
44.7%
FG%
38.3%
3P%
66.7%
FT%
31.8
RPG
15.5
APG
11.5
TO
77.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1320 (#151) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1282 (#143) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1011 (#165) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +25.0 (#137) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +17.4 (#61) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.383 (#75) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.2 More → 0.412 (#118) NetEff -3.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.3 More → 0.464 (#67) AdjNet -1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.1 More → 0.468 (#67) AdjNet -1.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.655 (#65) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 62.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.803 (#82) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.775 (#84) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 33 More → 1089 (#131) RD 145 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-12 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 100 - 72
2012-11-15 @ Drexel Dragons W 86 - 84
2012-11-18 vs Delaware State Hornets W 87 - 48
2012-11-20 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 91 - 58
2012-11-23 vs UAB Blazers W 77 - 65
2012-11-24 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 69 - 72
2012-12-01 @ Louisville Cardinals L 66 - 69
2012-12-04 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 67 - 81
2012-12-08 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 85 - 63
2012-12-16 vs Morgan State Bears W 87 - 68
2012-12-19 @ Dayton Flyers W 74 - 73
2012-12-22 vs Austin Peay Governors W 83 - 57
2012-12-30 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 75 - 77
2013-01-02 vs Creighton Bluejays L 72 - 79
2013-01-05 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 60 - 70
2013-01-08 @ Missouri State Bears L 55 - 62
2013-01-12 vs Drake Bulldogs L 77 - 82
2013-01-16 @ Wichita State Shockers L 62 - 74
2013-01-20 @ Southern Illinois Salukis W 70 - 56
2013-01-23 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 60 - 58
2013-01-26 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 67 - 62
2013-01-29 @ Bradley Braves L 77 - 83
2013-02-02 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 83 - 47
2013-02-06 @ Drake Bulldogs W 94 - 86
2013-02-09 @ Creighton Bluejays W 75 - 72
2013-02-13 vs Bradley Braves W 79 - 59
2013-02-17 vs Wichita State Shockers L 67 - 68
2013-02-20 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 62 - 79
2013-02-23 @ Utah State Aggies L 71 - 80
2013-02-27 vs Missouri State Bears W 86 - 50
2013-03-02 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 72 - 80
2013-03-08 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 34 - 35
2013-03-09 @ Wichita State Shockers L 51 - 66

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Brown T. Brown G 32 29.6 18.1 4.4 2.7 1.4 0.2 2.9 5.1 18.8 33 1.3 2.9 41.5 39.1 73.7 0.6 153.1 51.8
J. Carmichael J. Carmichael F 33 30.6 17.4 9.3 0.8 1.0 2.1 2.3 4.6 23.6 160 4.8 6.8 50.3 0.0 70.9 1.51 153.1 50.3
B. Allen B. Allen G 32 28.4 8.6 1.8 1.9 1.1 0.1 1.1 3.3 9.0 127 4.0 6.3 35.5 24.1 69.2 1.13 122.4 42.1
J. Hill J. Hill G 33 25.3 7.7 3.9 3.1 1.3 0.0 1.9 2.2 11.8 101 3.1 5.2 50.0 28.6 74.5 0.81 133.6 51.4
J. Wilkins J. Wilkins G-F 33 20.0 6.7 3.3 0.8 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 9.2 101 3.1 6.2 49.1 25.0 73.9 0.84 175.9 53.8
J. Ekey J. Ekey F 33 22.9 6.4 4.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.7 2.0 10.7 122 3.7 6.8 38.5 26.7 66.7 1.26 153.7 44.6
N. Zeisloft N. Zeisloft G 25 15.2 4.5 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 5.4 136 5.4 13.6 36.7 33.3 87.5 1.39 167.1 50.0
G. Allen G. Allen G 6 8.2 3.5 2.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.7 0.0 7.0 49 7.0 25.2 0 0 0 0.51 0 0
K. Keane K. Keane G 31 18.4 2.7 2.1 3.2 0.5 0.1 1.9 0.7 6.0 56 1.8 3.8 39.1 50.0 75.0 0.04 167.6 50.0
Z. Upshaw Z. Upshaw G 18 7.8 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 3.4 25 1.3 4.4 50.0 60.0 0.0 0.07 162.7 71.4
J. Threloff J. Threloff C 21 7.9 2.5 1.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 4.6 0 0.0 0.0 44.4 0 50.0 -0.39 268.2 44.4
A. Cousin A. Cousin G 27 8.4 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.3 1.5 65 2.5 7.8 33.3 0.0 50.0 0.44 126.5 33.3
M. Stacho M. Stacho - 3 2.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.3 -0.3 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG