Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | +9.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +28 (100-72). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taran Brown * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | +0.3 |
| Alan Williams * | 28 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18 | +2.6 |
| Lewis Thomas * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -4.0 |
| Kyle Boswell * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -0.3 |
| Nate Garth * | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -6.0 |
| T.J. Taylor | 18 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Duke Da Re | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Shawn Moore | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -9.4 |
| Mitch Brewe | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.5 |
| Michael Bryson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.5 |
| Dalante Dunklin | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Aamahd Walker | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.4 |
| Sam Beeler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaza Keane * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 24 | 13-20 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 23 | +8.7 |
| Bryant Allen * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Tyler Brown * | 22 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | +13.6 |
| Jon Ekey * | 21 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +18.6 |
| Nick Zeisloft | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +7.5 |
| Johnny Hill | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7.7 |
| John Wilkins | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Jordan Threloff | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.5 |
| Anthony Cousin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.7 |
| Geoffrey Allen | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Zeke Upshaw | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.5 |
* = starter