Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +1 (35-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Brown * | 33 | 10-17 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 17 | - |
| B. Allen * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Hill * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Carmichael * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Ekey | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| N. Zeisloft | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Cousin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Keane | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sonnen * | 40 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Koch * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. James * | 31 | 6-18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| D. Mitchell * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Tuttle * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Bohannon | 24 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Rank | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Pehl | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter