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2013-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% -
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% -
Margin 63.4% 36.6% -3.0 (20.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 73.8% 26.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% -
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +17 (79-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brown * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 21 28 -
J. Carmichael * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 0 0 0 3 7 18 -
B. Allen * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 8 8 -
J. Wilkins * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 9 18 -
J. Hill * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 0 0 -
J. Ekey 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 8 13 -
Z. Upshaw 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 7 12 -
A. Cousin 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 2 6 -
K. Keane 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Cox * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 0 16 23 -
A. Wing * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 2 8 17 -
C. Ryan * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 3 0 2 31 42 -
E. Mockevicius * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 3 0 8 22 -
T. Taylor * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 7 14 -
D.J. Balentine 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 0 5 -
J. Nelson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Moore 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
L. Jones 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Sawvell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter