Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmichael * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | - |
| T. Brown * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 39 | - |
| B. Allen * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Keane * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Hill | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Wilkins | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| N. Zeisloft | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Threloff | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sobolewski * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. Crawford * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 32 | - |
| J. Swopshire * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 28 | - |
| R. Hearn * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| A. Olah * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Turner | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | - |
| T. Demps | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Abrahamson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter