Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✗ (3.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +3 (72-69). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | +1.7 |
| Tyler Brown * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 39 | +6.1 |
| Bryant Allen * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -3.7 |
| Kaza Keane * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Jon Ekey * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | -1.1 |
| Johnny Hill | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -7.9 |
| John Wilkins | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Nick Zeisloft | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Jordan Threloff | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.2 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Sobolewski * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +9.2 |
| Drew Crawford * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 32 | +6.2 |
| Jared Swopshire * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 28 | +8.9 |
| Reggie Hearn * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -2.1 |
| Alex Olah * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -10.3 |
| Mike Turner | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | +13.7 |
| Tre Demps | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Alex Marcotullio | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Kale Abrahamson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
* = starter