Model Predictions
| Model | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | +23.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +28.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +33 (91-58). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Robinson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | -7.9 |
| Mustafaa Jones * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -0.7 |
| Mathias Seilund * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -1.0 |
| Melquan Bolding * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | -6.6 |
| Kyle Pearson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Sidney Sanders Jr. | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Xavier Harris | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Dylan Moody | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5.4 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 25 | +4.1 |
| Bryant Allen * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 22 | +4.7 |
| Kaza Keane * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | +7.9 |
| Tyler Brown * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Jon Ekey * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | +2.4 |
| Nick Zeisloft | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +3.4 |
| John Wilkins | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +7.8 |
| Johnny Hill | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | -0.2 |
| Geoffrey Allen | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Jordan Threloff | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Anthony Cousin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -7.9 |
| Zeke Upshaw | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -8.2 |
* = starter