Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +7 (62-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmichael * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 19 | - |
| J. Hill * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| B. Allen * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Brown * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Threloff * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Ekey | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Keane | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Cousin | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Zeisloft | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Wilkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Downing * | 37 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 8-11 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| M. Marshall * | 30 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Kirk * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D. Williams * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Wilson * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| N. Scheer | 33 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Pickens | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| G. Thurman | 11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Aromona | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter