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Illinois State Redbirds 72
@
Northern Iowa Panthers 80
2013-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% - ✓
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 ✓ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% - ✓
Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% - ✓

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brown * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 9 28 29 -
J. Hill * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 14 20 -
J. Carmichael * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 3 5 12 -
B. Allen * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 7 9 -
J. Wilkins * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 9 13 -
J. Ekey 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
K. Keane 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 9 -
A. Cousin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Z. Upshaw 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mitchell * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 2 0 0 6 19 -
A. James * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 6 19 19 -
M. Sonnen * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 18 20 -
J. Koch * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 4 0 0 1 18 32 -
S. Tuttle * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 0 1 15 28 -
C. Rank 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Bohannon 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Pehl 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
M. Singleton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter