Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -14 (56-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmichael * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| T. Brown * | 34 | 7-18 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 5 | - |
| B. Allen * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| J. Hill * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 22 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Ekey | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Keane | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Cousin | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Early * | 34 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Brown-Surles * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Beane * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D. Jackson * | 26 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Daniels * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Swan | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Pendleton | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Drinkard | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T.J. Lindsay | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Long | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Bonifield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Belts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter