Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -14 (56-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 24 | +7.6 |
| Tyler Brown * | 34 | 7-18 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Bryant Allen * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | -1.5 |
| Johnny Hill * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -3.1 |
| John Wilkins * | 22 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Jon Ekey | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +6.6 |
| Kaza Keane | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Anthony Cousin | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +15.6 |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Early * | 34 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -10.2 |
| Kendal Brown-Surles * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -7.8 |
| Anthony Beane * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Desmar Jackson * | 26 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +11.5 |
| Tiel Daniels * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +10.6 |
| Josh Swan | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -7.8 |
| Jalen Pendleton | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Davante Drinkard | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.4 |
| T.J. Lindsay | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.6 |
| Diamond Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.5 |
| Colby Long | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Ryan Bonifield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Calvin Belts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter