Model Predictions
| Model | Wyoming Cowboys | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -14 (67-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrious Gilmore * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Leonard Washington * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Josh Adams * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Luke Martinez * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 32 | - |
| Nathan Sobey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Cooke Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Austin Haldorson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Bryant Allen * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kaza Keane * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| John Wilkins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Geoffrey Allen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter